Personal profile
Research interests
Multiple criteria analysis.
Ranking methods.
Performance and efficiency measurement based on multiple criteria.
Developing methods for fitting models to noisy data.
Quantitative forecasting: unbiased approaches based on relative error minimization.
Overview
My research is aimed at developing quantitative methods which are based on simple principles but which provide advantages over existing methods. I feel that much analytic research will be ignored because of its technical complexity. The simpler a method is, the more likely it is to be understood and applied.
Most of my work is in the field of Decision Science or Analytics.
I have developed the following methods:
Neutral Data Fitting
Automatic Democratic Method for objective scoring and ranking.
Unbiased model selection and model building for prediction based on relative error minimization.
Least squares percentage regression.
Maximum correlation model building (for multiple dependent variables).
Efficiency Profiling.
Overview
Editor of Hertfordshire Business School Working Papers
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Collaborations and top research areas from the last five years
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Predictive Analytics in Emergency Services: Evaluating Forecast Periods for Sustainability
Ordu, M., Demir, E. & Tofallis, C., 2025, IGI Global: Intelligent Systems and IoT Applications in Clinical Health . p. 177 196 p.Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter (peer-reviewed) › peer-review
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A comprehensive and integrated hospital decision support system for efficient and effective healthcare services delivery using discrete event simulation
Ordu, M., Demir, E., Tofallis, C. & Gunal, M., 31 Dec 2023, In: Healthcare Analytics. 4, 18 p., 100248.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open AccessFile18 Citations (Scopus)53 Downloads (Pure) -
Fitting an Equation to Data Impartially
Tofallis, C., 18 Sept 2023, In: Mathematics. 11, 18, p. 1-14 14 p., 3957.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open AccessFile1 Citation (Scopus)58 Downloads (Pure) -
A multidimensional ranking of Members of Parliament
Tofallis, C., Dunk, T. & Spencer, N., 1 Dec 2022, Radical Statistics, 133, p. 3-29 27 p.Research output: Contribution to specialist publication › Article
Open AccessFile91 Downloads (Pure) -
A novel healthcare resource allocation decision support tool: A forecasting-simulation-optimization approach
Ordu, M., Demir, E., Tofallis, C. & Gunal, M., 3 Feb 2020, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 2021, 3, 1700186.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open AccessFile97 Citations (Scopus)322 Downloads (Pure)