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A Comparison of the Epidemiological Characteristics Between Influenza and COVID-19 Patients: A Retrospective, Observational Cohort Study.

  • Omar Naji
  • , Iman Darwish
  • , Khaoula Bessame
  • , Tejal Vaghela
  • , Anja Hawkins
  • , Mohamed Elsakka
  • , Hema Merai
  • , Jeremy Lowe
  • , Miriam Schechter
  • , Samuel Moses
  • , Amanda Busby
  • , Keith Sullivan
  • , David Wellsted
  • , Muhammad Zamir
  • , Hala Kandil

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

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Abstract

Background and objective
It is crucial to make early differentiation between coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and seasonal influenza infections at the time of a patient's presentation to the emergency department (ED). In light of this, this study aimed to identify key epidemiological, initial laboratory, and radiological differences that would enable early recognition during co-circulation.
Methods
This was a retrospective, observational cohort study. All adult patients presenting to our ED at the Watford General Hospital, UK, with a laboratory-confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 (2019/20) or influenza (2018/19) infection were included in this study. Demographic, laboratory, and radiological data were collected. Binary logistic regression was employed to determine features associated with COVID-19 infection rather than influenza. Results Chest radiographs suggestive of viral pneumonitis and older age (≥80 years) were associated with increased odds of having COVID-19 [odds ratio (OR): 47.00, 95% confidence interval (CI): 21.63-102.13 and OR: 64.85, 95% CI: 19.96-210.69 respectively]. Low eosinophils (<0.02 x 10 9/L) were found to increase the odds of COVID-19 (OR: 2.12, 95% CI: 1.44-3.10, p<0.001).

Conclusions
Gaining awareness about the epidemiological, biological, and radiologic presentation of influenza-like illness can be useful for clinicians in ED to differentiate between COVID-19 and influenza. This study showed that older age, eosinopenia, and radiographic evidence of viral pneumonitis significantly increase the odds of having COVID-19 compared to influenza. Further research is needed to determine if these findings are affected by acquired or natural immunity.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)e49280
Number of pages10
JournalCureus
Volume15
Issue number11
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 23 Nov 2023

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