Grey System Theory Supported Markowitz Portfolio Optimization during High Volatility Periods

Nurgul Chambers, Coşkun Hamzacebi, Fatih M. Bayramoglu

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articlepeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)
143 Downloads (Pure)


Investment in stocks in high volatility periods is more difficult for investorsrelative to periods with lower volatility. In these high volatility periods, theefficiency levels of markets tend to decrease and the probability investors facingasymmetric information increase. As such, certain modern approaches are needed for not only stock selection, but also for portfolio creating with selected stocks. This study runs a Markowitz Portfolio Optimization supported by Grey Systems Theory on selected stocks from the BIST 30 Index for a time period during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. The purpose of this study is to develop a model, which can be used for investor decision making in the periods of uncertainty. Additionally, this study also compares the performances of the developed model, Hybrid portfolios and Traditional portfolios. The results of the study show that the developed models with a modern approach can be applicable and successful for periods with high volatility.
Original languageEnglish
Article number7
Pages (from-to)79-95
Number of pages17
JournalThe Journal of Grey System
Issue number4
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2016


  • Decision Analysis; Portfolio Optimization; Financial Forecasting; Grey System Theory; GM(1,1) Model


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