Impact of an effective multidrug resistant tuberculosis control programmes in the setting of an immature HIV epidemic: system dynamics simulation model

Reda M Lebcir, R.A. Atun, Francis Drobniewski, Richard Coker

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

31 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This study sought to determine the impact of an effective programme of multidrug resistant tuberculosis control (MDRTB) on a population that is witnessing an explosive HIV epidemic among injecting drug users (IDUs), where the prevalence of MDRTB is already high. A transmission model was constructed that represents the dynamics of the drug-susceptible tuberculosis (DSTB), MDRTB and HIV spread among the adult population of Samara Oblast, Russia: from official notifications of tuberculosis and of HIV infection, estimates of MDRTB derived from surveillance studies, population data from official regional statistics, data on transmission probabilities from peer-reviewed publications and informed estimates, and policy-makers' estimates of IDU populations
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)560-570
JournalInternational Journal of STD and AIDS
Volume16
Issue number8
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Aug 2005

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