Modelling impacts of climate change on arable crop diseases: progress, challenges and applications.

F Newbery, Aiming Qi, Bruce Fitt

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

43 Citations (Scopus)
118 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Combining climate change, crop growth and crop disease
models to predict impacts of climate change on crop diseases
can guide planning of climate change adaptation strategies to
ensure future food security. This review summarises recent
developments in modelling climate change impacts on crop
diseases, emphasises some major challenges and highlights
recent trends. The use of multi-model ensembles in climate
change modelling and crop modelling is contributing towards
measures of uncertainty in climate change impact projections
but other aspects of uncertainty remain largely unexplored.
Impact assessments are still concentrated on few crops and
few diseases but are beginning to investigate arable crop
disease dynamics at the landscape level.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)101-109
Number of pages9
JournalCurrent Opinion in Plant Biology
Volume32
Early online date27 Jul 2016
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Aug 2016

Keywords

  • Climate Change
  • crop disease
  • disease modelling
  • FOOD SECURITY
  • model ensembles
  • Uncertainty

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